Memphis Grizzlies (24-14) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (20-17)
January 11, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Saturday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Rockets, beat the Mavericks, and they play the Spurs, Hornets, and Pelicans next. The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 123.1 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 114.7 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.7 points and 6.4 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 21.2 points and 7.9 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer and Santi Aldama is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.7 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Magic and Pelicans, and they play the Wizards, Warriors, and Knicks next. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 109.1 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 107.7 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 25.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 19.5 points and 4.4 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 10.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 12 road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last five games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites against the Grizzlies.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Timberwolves have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have won five of their last six games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine home games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last eight home games against Southwest Division opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last six Saturday games has gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Anthony Edwards ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.3) this season.
- Rudy Gobert ranks 4th amongst qualified players for FG% (62.1%) this season.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Jaren Jackson Jr. is the only qualified player in the league averaging at least 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocks this season.
- Desmond Bane ranks 9th amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (5.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.0).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (52.3).
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for free throws made per game this season (19.4).
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (25.1).
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Memphis Grizzlies are getting healthier, and it’s why this line is so soft. I’m still leaning toward the Timberwolves at home. One, the Timberwolves have won five of the last six games against the Grizzlies, which includes each of the last four meetings. Also, the Timberwolves are coming off three straight wins where the defense looked like its old self. The Pelicans and the banged-up Magic isn’t the best competition, but holding teams under 100 points in two straight games in today’s NBA isn’t easy. The Grizzlies have seen nine of their 14 losses this season come on the road. This line feels like a gift. Give me the Timberwolves and the small chalk on Saturday night.
