Milwaukee Bucks (59-26) vs. Miami Heat (47-40)
April 24, 2023 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: +217.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat meet Monday in Game 4 of the NBA East First Round Playoffs at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 118 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 124.3 points on 55.6 percent shooting. Khris Middleton is averaging 24 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Jrue Holiday is averaging 19.7 points and 5.7 rebounds. Pat Connaughton is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 11 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73.8 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 50 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.
The Miami Heat are averaging 124.3 points on 55.6 percent shooting and allowing 118 points on 49.5 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 30 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.3 points and 8.3 rebounds. Caleb Martin is the third double-digit scorer and Duncan Robinson is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 50 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 38.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.3 rebounds per game.
The Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. The over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 overall. The over is 8-0 in Heat last 8 overall. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
Let me start off by saying a Miami Heat outright victory wouldn’t surprise me as they have the momentum, they’re at home and their offense has been ridiculous through 3 games. With 50 percent shooting from deep and 55.6 percent shooting from the field, you can argue the Heat have been the best offense in these playoffs. However, the Heat also have an issue with consistency and whatever they did the last game, expect the opposite in the next. There’s also the emotional letdown of Victor Oladipo getting hurt again. I wouldn’t touch this game personally because the Heat could win, especially if Giannis Antetokounmpo stays sidelined, but I don’t trust them to string wins together given what we’ve seen all year.
