Milwaukee Bucks (42-34) vs. Miami Heat (35-42)
April 5, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +1.5; Over/Under: 214.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Heat vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks have been in decent form as they’ve split their last 12 games, and they will be aiming for a third-straight victory after routing the lowly 76ers in a 126-113 road win on Thursday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with a monster triple-double of 35 points with 17 rebounds and 20 assists, Brook Lopez added 17 points, while Kyle Kuzma chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 56 percent from the field and 16 of 31 from the 3-point line as they got off to a terrible start and quickly fell behind by 17 points. But they responded with a 36-20 second quarter and never trailed again as they rode the hot hand of Antetokounmpo.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been a team on the rise as they were riding a six-game win streak before they got stopped in their tracks by the Grizzlies in a 110-108 home defeat on Thursday. Tyler Herro led the team with 35 points, nine rebounds, and four assists; Bam Adebayo added 26 points with seven rebounds and five assists, while Kel’el Ware chipped in with 13 points, 15 rebounds, and three blocks. As a team, the Heat shot 41 percent from the field and 14 of 33 from the 3-point line as they battled with the Grizzlies in a close contest. It looked like it was headed for overtime until the Grizzlies’ Ja Morant drained the game-winner at the buzzer.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Bucks have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last nine games.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as road favorites against Southeast Division opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last 12 games as home underdogs following a loss.
- The road team has won each of the Heat’s last four games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the Bucks’ last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bucks’ last nine night games at Kaseya Center following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last five games as underdogs following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Heat vs Bucks Prediction
The Bucks are still playing with the injured Damian Lillard, while the Heat have ruled out Kevin Love again, with Tyler Herro listed as questionable for this one. This is one of those games where you should check the lineups before tipoff, as the availability of Herro will surely have an impact on the lineup. The Heat come into this meeting as the team in better form over the past week, but I think they will struggle for scoring if Herro isn’t able to suit up. The Bucks have won all three meetings against the Heat this season, and I think they complete the series sweep with a narrow win and cover here.
