Cleveland Cavaliers (37-9) vs. Miami Heat (23-22)
January 29, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +7; Over/Under: 228
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Cavaliers Pick.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers lost to the Rockets, beat the Pistons, and they play the Hawks, Mavs, and Celtics next. The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 122 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 112.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 23.8 points and 4.6 assists, while Darius Garland is averaging 21.7 points and 6.8 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 9.9 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 39.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Nets and Magic, and they play the Spurs, Bulls, and 76ers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.7 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17 points and 5.2 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Cavaliers have lost each of their eight previous road games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Heat.
- The Heat have won 24 of their last 27 games against the Cavaliers at Kaseya Center.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Heat.
- The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last five night games following an overtime win.
- The Cavaliers have won 12 of their last 13 games as road favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games after winning as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last seven home games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Cavaliers’ last five night games against the Heat following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
Heat vs Cavaliers Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Josh Richardson and Dru Smith. Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Isaiah Stevens are questionable. Jimmy Butler is suspended yet again.
The Cavs won’t have Luke Travers, Caris LeVert, Dean Wade, and Isaac Okoro.
Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction
The Cleveland Cavaliers are going to be favored for obvious reasons, as they’re the better, more consistent team. The Cavs are also 30-16 ATS, making them the third-best cover team in the NBA. The Heat are also still dealing with the Jimmy Butler nonsense. However, the Cavs have lost three of their last four games and have failed to cover six of their last 10 games. The Heat are also leaning into their youth, and they’ve shown promise, with Jovic, Herro, Ware, and others leading the charge. The Heat have also won three straight games against the Cavs and seven of the last 10 games overall. The Heat beat the Cavs back in December as a small dog. I’ll grab the points with the Heat at home.
