Heat vs Hawks Prediction 2/3/26 NBA Picks Today

The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Hawks Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Rockets and Pacers, and they play the Jazz next. The Hawks have won 4 of their last 6 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.8 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 118.4 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 22.9 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Kirstaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Bulls, lost to the Bulls, and they play the Celtics next. The Heat have won 7 of their last 12 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Hawks have lost each of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have won each of their last six night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Hawks have won each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Heat have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last five games as favorites against the Hawks have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Hawks’ last four road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded nine games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (9.8) this season.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Jalen Johnson is the only qualified player in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 3rd in the league for fast break points (202) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.9%).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (43.6).
• The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.7).
• The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.

Heat vs Hawks Injury Report

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro. Norman Powell and Nikola Jovic are questionable.

The Hawks will be without N’Faly Dante and Onyeka Okongwu. Kristaps Porzingis is questionable.

Heat vs Hawks Prediction

The Heat are 7-3 SU and ATS in the last 10 games against the Hawks. I still don’t trust this Heat team night to night, especially when their injury report has key rotation players on it. The Hawks have 15 road wins, and there’s a chance they get Porzingis back. The Hawks have also outright won 3 of their last 4 games as an underdog. Nothing with the Heat surprises me, so my confidence level with them isn’t great. I’m more excited with the Heat as an underdog these days. It’s Hawks or pass for me on Tuesday night.