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Heat vs Hornets Prediction 3/23/25 NBA Picks Today

Charlotte Hornets (18-52) vs. Miami Heat (29-41)
March 23, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -3.5; Over/Under: 212.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Charlotte Hornets and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Hornets Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Hornets Pick.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets lost to the Thunder, beat the Knicks, and they play the Magic, Raptors, and Pelicans next. The Hornets have played spoiler lately, as they’re a .500 team in their last eight games.

The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 105.8 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 113.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting. LaMelo Ball is averaging 25.4 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Miles Bridges is averaging 21.1 points and 7.8 rebounds. Mark Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Nick Smith Jr. is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Charlotte Hornets are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Charlotte Hornets are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Pistons and Rockets, and they play the Warriors, Hawks, and 76ers next. The Heat have lost 10 straight games and have dropped to the 10th seed in the East.

The Miami Heat are averaging 109 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.3 points and 4.2 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Hornets have lost each of their last 11 games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Heat have won 13 of their last 15 night games against the Hornets.
  • The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last four games.

Why the Charlotte Hornets will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last 10 games.
  • The Hornets have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Heat’s last seven games at Kaseya Center.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
  • The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.1).
  • The Hornets rank 30th in the league for field goal percentage this season (42.9%).
  • The Hornets rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (15.5).

Heat vs Hornets Injury Report

The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith. Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro are questionable.

The Charlotte Hornets will be without Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Tre Mann, and Josh Okogie.

Heat vs Hornets Prediction

The Heat should win this game comfortably, but they also shouldn’t have blown a million double-digit leads and riding a 10-game losing streak. The Heat look broken and like a team that’s lost all confidence. We’re now seeing Adebayo and Herro on the injury report, which doesn’t make the situation any better. The Heat say they’re not tanking and trying to win, but the constant blown leads and ugly losses to bad teams says otherwise.

I’m not excited to back the Hornets, but I want nothing to do with the Heat. If anything, the Hornets have been a .500 team over their last eight games and did beat the Heat earlier this month as a nine-point underdog. The underdog has covered six of the last nine games between the Heat and Hornets. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Charlotte Hornets +3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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