NBA Picks

Heat vs Jazz Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 3/13/23

Utah Jazz (33-35) vs. Miami Heat (36-33)
March 13, 2023 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -7.5; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah Jazz and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Miami-Dade Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Utah Jazz are averaging 117.3 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Lauri Markkanen is averaging 25.2 points and 8.6 rebounds, while Jordan Clarkson is averaging 20.8 points and 4 rebounds. Collin Sexton is the third double-digit scorer and Kelly Olynyk is dishing 3.3 assists. The Utah Jazz are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 108.6 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.4 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.6 points and 6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 21 points and 9.4 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 83.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

The Jazz are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Heat are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The over is 4-0-1 in Jazz last 5 overall. The Jazz are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

I’m not sure what the Miami Heat have done to deserve to be laying these sorts of lines, but I’m not buying it. The Heat have been inconsistent all year, they take two steps back for every step they take forward, and they win by an average of 1.3 points as favorites. The Heat also have a lot of players questionable for this game. The Heat have issues winning games, let alone by large margins. Give me the Jazz and the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Utah Jazz +7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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