Heat vs Jazz Prediction 2/9/26 NBA Picks Today
Utah Jazz (16-37) vs. Miami Heat (28-26)
February 9, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -8.5; Over/Under: 242.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Utah Jazz and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Jazz Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Jazz Pick.
Utah Jazz Betting Preview
The Utah Jazz lost to the Hawks and Magic, and they play the Kings next. The Jazz have lost 17 of their last 21 games.
The Utah Jazz are averaging 118.3 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 126.9 points on 49.2 percent shooting. Lauri Markkanen is averaging 27.4 points and 7 rebounds, while Keyonte George is averaging 24.2 points and 4 rebounds. Walker Kessler is the third double-digit scorer, and Brice Sensabaugh is dishing 1.6 assists. The Utah Jazz are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 79.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Celtics, beat the Wizards, and they play the Pelicans next. The Heat have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 119.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Jazz have lost each of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have won seven of their last eight home games against the Jazz.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Utah Jazz will win
- The Heat have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have won four of the Heat’s last five games at Kaseya Center.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Jazz’s last nine games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Heat’s last eight games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Jazz’s last five games at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Davion Mitchell has recorded nine games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
- Norman Powell ranks 9th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.6) this season.
Utah Jazz Player Facts
- Isaiah Collier is the only player in the league to have recorded 19+ assists in a game this season.
- Brice Sensabaugh is the only player to have scored 40+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.5%).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
- The Jazz rank 30th in the league for opponent points per game this season (126.7).
- The Jazz rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (30.6).
Heat vs Jazz Injury Report
The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro. Pelle Larsson and Norman Powell are questionable.
The Jazz will be without Walker Kessler, Keyonte George, and Elijah Harkless.
Heat vs Jazz Prediction
The Heat are the better team and should win, but they’re a team that plays down to their competition a lot and is on the end of a back-to-back. There’s also a chance the Heat won’t have Larsson and Powell. Furthermore, as I’ve said all season, you can make money on the Jazz. The Jazz have covered 4 straight games and are 29-24 ATS on the season. One night the Heat look like a contender in the East, and the next night they’re blowing 20-point leads and losing to bottom feeders. I don’t trust the Heat. Give me the Jazz and the points.
