Heat vs Magic Prediction 1/28/26 NBA Picks Today

The Orlando Magic and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Magic Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Magic Pick.

Orlando Magic Betting Preview

The Orlando Magic lost to the Cavs and Hornets, and they play the Raptors next. The Magic have lost 4 straight games.

The Orlando Magic are averaging 115.4 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Franz Wagner is averaging 22.2 points and 3.6 assists, while Paolo Banchero is averaging 21.1 points and 8.6 rebounds. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Anthony Black is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Orlando Magic are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Orlando Magic are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Jazz and Suns, and they play the Bulls next. The Heat have won 3 of their last 4 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last 17 home games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Magic have lost 16 of their last 17 road games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
• The Magic have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against Southeast Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Why the Orlando Magic will win

• The Magic have won each of their last four games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have lost eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Magic have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Magic’s last six games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last four games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Bam Adebayo ranks 3rd amongst qualified Forwards for rebounds per game (9.7) this season.
• Andrew Wiggins rank T23rd in the league for total steals + blocks (91) this season.

Orlando Magic Player Facts

• Desmond Bane ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for FT% (93.4%) this season.
• Paolo Banchero is one of only two qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (21.6), rebounds (8.7) and assists (4.9) per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.0%).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.9).
• The Magic rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (33.0).
• The Magic rank 1st in the league for free throws made per game this season (21.7).

Heat vs Magic Injury Report

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro. Kel’el Ware, Davion Mitchell, and Norman Powell are questionable.

The Magic will be without Franz Wagner.

Heat vs Magic Prediction

I considered the points with the Magic as they’ve won 5 of the last 7 games against the Heat. However, the Magic are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last 4 games and the offense is back to riding the struggle bus. The Heat are coming off a successful road trip, and they’re now at home, where they’ve won 15 games. You have to check the injury report before locking in anything, as the Heat are banged up. Still, we’re only laying a bucket. Give me the Heat and the small chalk, as they’re in better form currently.