Indiana Pacers (33-24) vs. Miami Heat (27-30)
February 28, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +3.5; Over/Under: 226
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat play host to the Indiana Pacers at the Kaseya Center on Friday night. Here’s a Heat vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Pacers Pick.
Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
The Indiana Pacers are starting to heat up again as they’ve won four of their last five games overall and they will be looking to stay hot after routing the Raptors in a 111-91 home win on Wednesday. Tyrese Haliburton led the team with 33 points and 11 assists on 12 of 15 shooting, Myles Turner added 18 points with 10 rebounds and two blocks while Pascal Siakam chipped in with 15 points and eight rebounds. As a team, the Pacers shot 53 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as they played excellent defense to take a 10-point lead into halftime. The Pacers poured in 60 points in the second half to make it a blowout win at home.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in a slump as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall, but they will be eager to build some momentum after blowing past the Hawks in a 131-109 home win on Wednesday. Tyler Herro led the team with 24 points and 10 assists, Duncan Robinson added 24 points and six assists off the bench while Bam Adebayo and Davion Mitchell scored 20 points each. As a team, the Heat shot a sizzling 59 percent from the field and 23 of 42 from the 3-point line as they did their best just to hang with the Hawks in a tightly contested first half. Before they took over and dominated the second half by 66-44 to come away with the much-needed home victory.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Pacers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won six of the Pacers’ last eight games at Kaseya Center.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in nine of the Pacers’ last 10 games at Kaseya Center.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as road favorites following a win.
Why the Indiana Pacers will win
- The Pacers have won each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost each of their last six games against Central Division opponents.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Central Division opponents.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Pacers and Heat has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Pacers’ last six games as favorites against the Heat have gone OVER the total points line.
Heat vs Pacers Prediction
The Pacers could be slightly shorthanded again with TJ McConnell listed as questionable, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo, who are both questionable. The Heat won the first meeting of the season back in November, but the Pacers have won the last two meetings. The Heat would’ve taken plenty of confidence in their much-needed win over the Hawks in their last outing, but the Pacers have been the better, more consistent team. I think they cover this short line with ease against a Heat team that could be depleted for this one.
