Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) vs. Atlanta Hawks (27-32)
February 28, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +12.5; Over/Under: 242
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Atlanta Hawks meet Friday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Nets, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Spurs, Rockets, and Grizzlies next. The Thunder have seen seven of their 11 losses come on the road, but they’re fighting with the Cavs for the best record in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 105.7 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.4 points and 6.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21 points and 5.6 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Pistons, split with the Heat, and then play the Grizzlies, Bucks, and Pacers next. The Hawks are a brutal 5-13 since January 20.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 116.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 119 points on 48 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 24 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.9 points and 5.5 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games following a win.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 17 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Hawks’ last four games.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.3%).
- The Hawks rank 30th in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (30.9).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.6).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.8).
Hawks vs Thunder Injury Report
The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci.
The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Alex Caruso, and Ajay Mitchell.
Hawks vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still extremely profitable with a 35-20-4 ATS record, but they’re 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games. The Hawks aren’t winning games much, but they’ve covered seven of their last 10 games. The Thunder have seen seven of their 12 losses come on the road. We also saw OKC get off to a sluggish start against the Nets in their last outing. With March here and the playoffs creeping up, the Thunder could be looking ahead just a bit. This is a lot of points for a road team. I’ll take a stab with the free points and the Hawks.
