Houston Rockets (45-25) vs. Miami Heat (29-40)
March 21, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: 213.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets and Miami Heat meet Friday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Magic and 76ers, and they play the Hawks, Nuggets, and Jazz next. The Rockets have won eight straight games and are currently the second seed in the West.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.7 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.4 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.1 points and 10.5 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Amen Thompson is grabbing 8.3 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.7 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Pistons and Knicks, and they play the Hornets, Warriors, and Hawks next. The Heat have lost nine straight games and have dropped to the 10th seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.1 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.3 points and 4.2 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last nine games against the Rockets.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last six games at Kaseya Center.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Heat teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last nine games.
- The Rockets have won each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 night games following a home loss.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.1).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (22.8).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.7).
Heat vs Rockets Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith. Andrew Wiggins is questionable with an ankle injury.
The Rockets will be without Reed Sheppard and Amen Thompson.
Heat vs Rockets Prediction
As I’ve said many times over these last couple of months, the Heat look like a team that’s given up on the season and is secretly tanking. There’s no way the Heat are trying to win games but keep blowing double-digit leads on a nightly basis. In fact, I’d be more worried about the Heat if they were trying to win and ended up with these results. I want nothing to do with the Heat. The Rockets are figuring things out, with wins in eight of their last 10 games, and they’ve covered seven of those games.
The Rockets have a chance to be the second seed in the West, and they need to take advantage of games like this to make that happen. The Heat have won nine straight games against the Rockets, but that streak ends here. The Rockets beat the Heat for the first time since November 2019. I’ll lay the points with the road team.
