Mavericks vs Pistons Prediction 3/21/25 NBA Picks Today

Detroit Pistons (39-31) vs. Dallas Mavericks (33-37)
March 21, 2025 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +8.5; Over/Under: 236
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Pistons and the Dallas Mavericks do battle at the American Airlines Center on Friday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Pistons Pick.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons have been in fine form as they’ve won four of their last six games overall. They will be gunning for a third straight victory after sneaking past the lowly Heat in a thrilling 116-113 road win on Wednesday. Cade Cunningham led the team with a triple-double of 25 points with 12 rebounds and 11 assists, Malik Beasley added 16 points off the bench while Jalen Duren chipped in with 15 points and 11 rebounds. As a team, the Pistons shot 50 percent from the field and nine of 23 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and had to work their way back from an early double-digit deficit. They played excellent defense down the stretch to limit the Heat to just four points in the final 4:26 to escape with the gritty road win capped by Cunningham’s game-winner with less than a second remaining.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 11 of their last 13 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a four-game slide after getting beaten by the Pacers in a 135-131 road win on Wednesday. PJ Washington led the team with 26 points on nine of 18 shooting, Jaden Hardy added 24 points off the bench, Naji Marshall added 20 points while Spencer Dinwiddie chipped in with 17 points and 12 assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot 54 percent from the field and 11 of 27 from the 3-point line as they poured in 34 points in the third quarter to erase an early 16-point deficit. Only to allow the Pacers to pour on 45 points in a disappointing fourth quarter. The Mavs will meet the Nets, Knicks, and Magic next.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

The Pistons have lost 15 of their last 16 games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
The Mavericks have won each of their last six home games against the Pistons following a road loss.
The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Pistons and Mavericks.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

The Mavericks have lost each of their last 15 games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
The Pistons have won each of their last 11 road games against teams that held a losing record.
The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
The Pistons have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Mavericks’ last six games has gone OVER the total points line.
Eight of the Pistons’ last nine games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.