
Heat vs Trail Blazers Prediction 1/21/25 NBA Picks Today
Portland Trail Blazers (14-28) vs. Miami Heat (21-20)
January 21, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -10.5; Over/Under: 221.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Portland Trail Blazers and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Trail Blazers Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Trail Blazers Pick.
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
The Portland Trail Blazers lost to the Rockets, beat the Bulls, and they play the Magic, Hornets, and Thunder next. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 107.9 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Shaedon Sharpe is averaging 18.1 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Anfernee Simons is averaging 18 points and 2.7 rebounds. Jerami Grant is the third double-digit scorer and Deni Avdija is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Nuggets, beat the Spurs, and they play the Bucks, Nets, and Magic next. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.2 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last eight road games following a home win.
- The Heat have won seven of their last eight games against the Trail Blazers.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Trail Blazers.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The Trail Blazers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have lost four of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 home games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in eight of the Trail Blazers’ last nine games.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Tyler Herro ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (3.9) this season.
- Terry Rozier ranks 5th amongst qualified players for FT% (91.3%) this season.
Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts
- Deandre Ayton ranks 8th amongst qualified players for second-chance points per game (3.4) this season.
- Toumani Camara ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.9).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.0).
- The Trail Blazers rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (25.2).
- The Trail Blazers rank 29th in the league for point differential per game this season (-8.8).
Heat vs Trail Blazers Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Josh Richardson and Dru Smith.
The Trail Blazers won’t have Matisse Thybulle and Donovan Clingan. Robert Williams III, Kris Murray, and Anfernee Simons are questionable for Portland.
Heat vs Trail Blazers Prediction
The Miami Heat are coming off an offensive breakthrough against the Spurs, and that could be a turning point for this group. However, until proven otherwise, the Heat still have a reputation for playing to the level of their competition. The Heat have lost a lot of games they shouldn’t have over the years, and it’s why they ended up in the play-in tournament despite being more talented than other East teams. The Heat are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a double-digit favorite. Three of those failed covers were outright losses. The Trail Blazers do have 21 covers this season, so they’re not completely useless in the betting market. I’ll grab the points with the Trail Blazers, simply due to my lack of trust in the Heat as big favorites.