Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1-1-25 NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and the Houston Rockets collide at the Toyota Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

The Dallas Mavericks have cooled off a bit recently as they’ve lost three of their last four games. The Mavs will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Kings in a 110-100 road defeat on Monday. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team with 30 points and six assists, PJ Washington added 28 points while Quentin Grimes chipped in with 11 points, seven rebounds, and three assists.

As a team, the Mavericks shot just 42 percent from the field and 12 of 31 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 37 points in the first quarter to take an early 18-point lead, but despite the lead. The Mavs still couldn’t hold off the Kings who dominated from the second quarter onwards to snatch the game from them.

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been in decent shape as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall, but they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Heat in a 104-100 loss on Sunday. Dillon Brooks led the team with 22 points, Jalen Green added 19 points, Alperen Sengun scored 18 points with 18 rebounds and six assists while Fred VanVleet chipped in with 16 points and six assists.

As a team, the Rockets shot just 39 percent from the field and 13 of 40 from the 3-point line as they narrowly led for most of the contest, until they went cold and managed just eight points in the final 8:09 to allow the Heat off the hook in the end.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won 10 of their last 11 home games against Southwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Mavericks have lost 12 of their last 14 road games against Rockets teams that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last eight night games against the Mavericks following a home loss.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last six night games against the Mavericks following a home loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Mavericks’ last five night games at Toyota Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

The Mavericks are still missing Luka Doncic, Dante Exum, and Dereck Lively, while the Rockets are keeping an eye on Tari Eason who is questionable for this one. The Mavericks have started to struggle a bit since Doncic went down with an injury and their confidence took a real gut shot after falling to the Kings, who were riding a six-game losing streak coming into Monday. In contrast, the Rockets have improved plenty over the past few weeks, and they were on a nice run before dropping their last two games. It is tempting to take the Mavericks with the points, but the Rockets are the team in better shape right now, and I think they bounce back with a much-needed win at home in this one.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Houston -5.5

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