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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction 4-7-24 Picks

Miami Heat (43-34) vs. Indiana Pacers (44-35)
April 7, 2024 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers -1; Over/Under: +229.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers meet Sunday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Heat vs Pacers prediction.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently beat the Rockets and Knicks while losing to the 76ers. The Miami Heat are averaging 109.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 108.4 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.7 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers recently beat the Lakers and Thunder while splitting 2 games against the Nets. The Indiana Pacers are averaging 122.8 points on 50.5 percent shooting and allowing 120.2 points on 49.7 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.4 points and 7.8 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 20.2 points and 3.9 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Team Facts

  • The Pacers have lost six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • Each of the Pacers’ last five games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won each of their last seven games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • Ten of the Heat’s last 11 road games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Heat vs Pacers prediction

The Heat are as healthy as they’ve been all season with the return of Herro. The Pacers have a questionable Haliburton and Smith, but I’m going to assume Haliburton will suit up despite a back issue. This is a massive game for both the Heat and Pacers, as they’re both fighting to stay out of the play-in tournament. The Pacers should get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home. I still believe the Heat are the better team when close to full strength, and they have won 5 of the last 8 games against the Pacers. Give me the Heat and the free point.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +1

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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