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Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 4-28-24 Picks

Milwaukee Bucks (50-35) vs. Indiana Pacers (49-37)
April 28, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers -9.5; Over/Under: +224.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers play host to the Milwaukee Bucks in NBA playoffs Game 4 at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks will be hoping to avoid falling into a 3-1 series deficit after falling painfully short to the Pacers in a 121-118 overtime road defeat in Game 3 on Friday. Khris Middleton led the team with 42 points, 10 rebounds and five assists, Damian Lillard added 28 points with eight assists while Bobby Portis chipped in with 17 points, 18 rebounds and one block. As a team, the Bucks shot 46 percent from the field and 10 of 31 from the 3-point line as they got off to a terrible start and had to work their way back from an early 19-point deficit, only to come up short in overtime where they managed just seven points to allow the Pacers off the hook in the end. The Bucks got next to nothing from their bench players who combined for just six points.

Indiana Pacers

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers will be growing in confidence after outlasting the Bucks in Game 3 to take the lead in the series. Myles Turner led the team with 29 points and nine rebounds, Tyrese Haliburton racked up a triple-double of 18 points with 10 rebounds and 16 assists while Pascal Siakam chipped in with 17 points, nine rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Pacers shot 42 percent from the field and 13 of 49 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble when they wasted an early 19-point lead, but they made up for it in overtime where the Pacers’ Haliburton made the game-winning basket and foul to drag the Pacers over the line.

Indiana Pacers Team Facts

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last 10 Sunday games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • Each of the Pacers’ last nine home games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks Team Facts

  • The Bucks have lost each of their last 14 games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • Each of the Bucks’ last six night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone OVER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Bucks are still shorthanded with Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo both listed as doubtful, while the Pacers are still missing Bennedict Mathurin. The Bucks must have been full of confidence after winning the series opener, but they are in serious trouble now if they can’t find a way to win without their two best players on the court. The Pacers now hold all the momentum in the series with back to back victories, and they have all their key players available while the Bucks are banged up just the wrong time. The line is hefty for this one, but I still think the Pacers can get the job done with a win and cover as long as they stay focused.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Indiana -9.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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