Kings vs Mavericks Prediction 12/27/25 NBA Picks Today

The Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks meet Saturday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Kings vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs Mavericks Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Pistons, beat the Rockets, and they play the Lakers next. The Kings have lost 10 of their last 12 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 111.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 122.9 points on 49.8 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 20.2 points and 3 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18.2 points and 3.2 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Keegan Murray is grabbing 7.1 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Warriors, beat the Nuggets, and they play the Trail Blazers next. The Mavs have split their last 10 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 21.7 points and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.2 points and 6.4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The home team has won each of the Mavericks’ last 10 games.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last 10 games.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Kings.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Kings have lost each of their last eight day games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The road team has won seven of the last eight games between the Mavericks and Kings.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games as road favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Kings’ last seven day games at Golden 1 Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games as favorites following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Russell Westbrook ranks 8th amongst qualified players for assists per game (7.2) this season.
• DeMar DeRozan ranks T12th amongst qualified players for FT% (89.5%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Klay Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.4) this season.
• P.J. Washington is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kings rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.7%).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.6).
• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (32.9%).
• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.5).

Kings vs Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. Brandon Williams is doubtful, while Anthony Davis is questionable.

The Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Zach LaVine, and Drew Eubanks. Devin Carter is questionable.

Kings vs Mavericks Prediction 

The Mavericks are 3-10 SU on the road this season, so there’s some reason for hesitancy. The Mavs also haven’t earned the right to be favored most nights. This has more to do with the Kings and how awful they are. The Kings have just 7 wins on the season, and they’ve lost 10 games at home.

The Kings are also 12-17-1 ATS on the year, so there’s just not a lot of betting value here. I’d love to see the Mavs injury report a bit more clear, but there are no excuses in this spot. The Kings are awful. If the Mavericks want to prevent this season from really getting off the rails, they win this game. We’re laying a bucket. Give me the Mavericks.