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Mavericks vs Heat Prediction 2/13/25 NBA Picks Today
Miami Heat (25-27) vs. Dallas Mavericks (29-26)
February 13, 2025 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +2; Over/Under: 222
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Mavericks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Thunder and Celtics, and they play the Raptors, Bucks, and Hawks next. The Miami Heat are averaging 109.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.7 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.5 points and 10 rebounds. Terry Rozier is the third double-digit scorer and Nikola Jovic is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks beat the Warriors, lost to the Kings, and they play the Pelicans, Lakers, and Hornets next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115.8 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 113.6 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.2 points and 4.7 rebounds. Max Christie is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 8.2 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won 14 of their last 15 night games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last nine road games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Mavericks have lost six of their last seven games against the Heat after winning as underdogs.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.2).
- The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for blocks per game this season (6.1).
- The Heat rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.2).
Mavericks vs Heat Injury Report
The Mavs will be without Dwight Powell, Daniel Gafford, Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Caleb Martin. PJ Washington and Dante Exum are questionable after not playing last night.
The Miami Heat will be without Kevin Love and Dru Smith. Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Duncan Robinson are questionable after not playing last night.
Mavericks vs Heat Prediction
The Dallas Mavericks continue to find ways to win here and there, and last night’s win over the Warriors was huge for their confidence. The Mavs also have the edge here with both teams playing last night and them not having to travel. The Heat have serious offensive issues, and they’ve scored single-digit points twice in their last nine quarters. With all of that said, the Heat are the healthier team, and guys like Ware and Bam should feast against a Mavs team with zero frontcourt. With no Gafford, AD, Lively, and Washington, it’s hard seeing the Mavs defend the paint against a Heat team that’s gotten bigger over the last few weeks. I’ll lay the bucket.