NBA Picks

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 3-26-24 Picks

Golden State Warriors (36-34) vs. Miami Heat (39-32)
March 26, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +2; Over/Under: +219
(Get latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in the NBA action at the Kaseya Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Warriors vs Heat prediction.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors recently beat the Grizzlies while losing to the Timberwolves and Pacers. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 118.3 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 47 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 26.8 points and 4.9 assists, while Klay Thompson is averaging 17.3 points and 2.2 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game. The Warriors are 36-34 in the West and are 2.5 games behind the Lakers.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently lost to the 76ers and Pelicans, while beating the Cavaliers. The Miami Heat are averaging 109.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 108.9 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.4 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have lost each of their last 11 games as home underdogs.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • Twelve of the Heat’s last 13 games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Team Facts

  • The Warriors have won each of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as road favorites.
  • Each of the Warriors’ last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Warriors vs Heat prediction

It’s hard to give a confident pick when the Heat won’t have Robinson and have a questionable Martin and Jaquez Jr. Check the injury report before locking in anything for this game. With that said, we’re getting a free bucket with the Heat at home. While you can argue this game is important for the Warriors to stay in the 10th seed in the West, the Heat are fighting to get a top-6 seed in the East to avoid the play-in tournament. The Heat are also coming off a beat down of the Cavs, and they usually play their best ball of the season around this time. The Heat beat the Warriors by 12 points on the road back in December.  With Butler, Adebayo and Rozier, the Heat have enough to grind out a win. Give me Miami and the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +2

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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