Miami Heat vs LA Lakers Prediction 12-4-24 NBA Picks
LA Lakers (12-9) vs. Miami Heat (9-10)
December 4, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -2.5; Over/Under: +218.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The LA Lakers and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs LA Lakers Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs LA Lakers Pick.
LA Lakers Betting Preview
The LA Lakers lost to the Timberwolves, beat the Jazz, and they play the Hawks, Trail Blazers and Kings next. The LA Lakers are averaging 112.3 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 114.9 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 27.8 points and 11.5 rebounds, while LeBron James is averaging 22 points and 8 rebounds. Austin Reaves is the third double-digit scorer and D’Angelo Russell is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The LA Lakers are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The LA Lakers are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.5 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Raptors and Celtics, and they play the Suns, Cavs and Thunder next. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.2 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.7 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 18.9 points and 5.1 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Lakers have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
- The Heat have won each of their last four home games against the Lakers.
- The Lakers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Heat’s last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last seven home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Lakers’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Tyler Herro ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.1) this season.
- Bam Adebayo ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.7) this season.
Los Angeles Lakers Player Facts
- LeBron James ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (9.1) this season.
- Dalton Knecht ranks 1st amongst qualified rookies for three-pointers made Per Game (2.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.5).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.7).
- The Lakers rank 1st in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (71.4%).
- The Lakers rank 2nd in the league for free throws made per game this season (19.1).
Miami Heat vs LA Lakers Prediction
It would be nice to know the status of Reaves and Butler before picking this game. You can make a case for either side, as the Lakers and Heat have been hit or miss all year. With all of that said, it’s a respectable game for the Heat, and they’re at home. The Heat are known for playing to their level of competition, so I’m not concerned with them showing up against the Lakers and LeBron. The Heat have also won 7 of the last 10 games against the Lakers. I’d lay the bucket with the Heat at home if forced to pick.