Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction 3/31/26 NBA Picks Today
Dallas Mavericks (24-51) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (29-45)
March 31, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +1; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and the Milwaukee Bucks do battle at the Fiserv Forum on Tuesday night. Here’s a Bucks vs. Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs. Mavericks Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been doing it tough, as they’ve dropped 15 of their last 18 games overall and they will be looking to bounce back in this one after getting thrashed by the Timberwolves in a 124-94 loss last night. Daniel Gafford led the team with 21 points on nine of 11 shooting; Brandon Williams added 15 points with seven assists off the bench, while Cooper Flagg had a quiet game of just 12 points on five of 19 shooting. As a team, the Mavericks shot a miserable 35 percent from the field and seven of 29 from the 3-point line as they struggled right from the tipoff and leaked 35 points in the first quarter to fall behind by double digits and things only got worse in the second half, where they leaked 68 points to get demolished in front of their home fans. Klay Thompson had a night to forget as he shot just one of eight from the field for his five points.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 14 of their last 17 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a four-game slide after getting routed by the Clippers in a 127-113 loss on Sunday. Gary Trent Jr. drained nine 3-pointers to lead the way with 36 points on 12 of 21 shooting. Taurean Prince added 18 points with six rebounds and eight assists off the bench, while AJ Green chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 52 percent from the field and a sizzling 20 of 44 from the 3-point line, but it still wasn’t nearly enough to get the job done as they allowed the Clippers to shoot 58 percent from the field and the Bucks trailed by as many as 24 points before they poured in 39 points in the fourth quarter to bring some respectability to the final margin.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 17 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Bucks have won each of their last eight night games against the Mavericks.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 15 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Bucks have lost seven of their last eight night games.
- The Mavericks have won each of their last seven games as favorites against the Bucks.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as road favorites following a home loss.
Total Points: Facts
- Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Bucks’ last four home games against the Mavericks has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.7).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.1%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (44.7).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (93.9).
Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II with Naji Marshall, Marvin Bagley III, PJ Washington and Caleb Martin all questionable, while the Bucks have ruled out Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bobby Portis and Kevin Porter Jr with Gary Harris listed as questionable. You couldn’t trust either side with any confidence these days, as both teams have been struggling, but the Mavericks could have some players returning to action, which would be a major boost for a shorthanded Mavs playing their second game of a back-to-back set. This one could go either way, but I prefer a play on the Mavericks over the depleted Bucks, who pulled the plug on their season long ago.


