Bucks vs Pacers Prediction 10/26/26 NBA Picks Today

The Indiana Pacers have been in decent form with two wins from their first three games, and they will be looking to stay hot after blowing past the Nets in a dominant 136-109 road win last night. Tyrese Haliburton led the team with 24 points and 10 assists on eight-of-13 shooting, Pascal Siakam added 21 points with seven rebounds and six assists, while Obi Toppin chipped in with 16 points off the bench.

As a team, the Pacers shot a sizzling 58 percent from the field and 21 of 43 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 41 points in the second quarter to take a nine-point lead into halftime, and they just never took their foot off the gas despite pulling their starters early.

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks are getting desperate for a win now as they are now riding a three-game losing streak after getting trampled by the 76ers in a 127-116 road defeat on Saturday. Jaime Jacquez Jr. led the team with 21 points, eight rebounds and four assists on seven of 13 shooting; Kel’el Ware added 19 points with 13 rebounds and two blocks; Ryan Rollins scored 15 points, while Kyle Kuzma chipped in with 14 points.

As a team, the Bucks shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 34 from the 3-point line as they showed plenty of fight to cut a 16-point deficit to just three points late in the fourth quarter, but they scored just two points in the final 2:01 to allow the 76ers off the hook.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Pacers have lost each of their last eight games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Bucks have won each of their last nine home games against the Pacers following a loss.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last eight home games against the Pacers following a road loss.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as road favorites following a road win.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Bucks have lost each of their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has won each of the Pacers’ last seven games.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bucks’ last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Pacers’ last six night games against the Bucks following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Bucks rank 30th in the league for opponent points per game this season (129.0).
• The Bucks rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (5.0).
• The Pacers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (33.3).
• The Pacers rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (66.7).

The Pacers have ruled out Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, and TJ McConnell again, with Ivica Zubac listed as questionable, while the Bucks have a full squad once again. The Pacers looked great in their easy win over the Nets last night, and they were able to rest their starters, which sets them up nicely against the ice-cold Bucks who are still without a win on the season.

The Bucks had plenty of positives to draw from their game against the 76ers, but they couldn’t make their shots when it mattered most, and I think that’s going to be a common theme for this new-look roster. If the game is close at the end, I prefer my money on the more settled Pacers, especially if they get going like they did last night.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Indiana -4.5