Golden State Warriors (26-21) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (27-19)
January 26, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5; Over/Under: 232.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves duke it out once again at the Target Center on Monday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have been in fine form as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after blowing past the Timberwolves in a 111-85 road win last night. Stephen Curry led the team with 26 points and seven assists on seven of 18 shooting, Moses Moody added 19 points while Brandin Podziemski chipped in with 12 points, five rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 42 percent from the field and 16 of 51 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and fell behind going into halftime. Before they took full control of the contest with a 38-17 third quarter domination to set up the massive win on the road. The Warriors weren’t at their fluent best on the offensive end, but they were terrific on the defensive end, as they snatched a total of 20 steals to force the Timberwolves to a total of 25 turnovers.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have gone cold all of a sudden as they are now on a season-high five-game losing streak after getting smashed by the Warriors in their own building last night. Anthony Edwards led the way with a game-high 32 points with 11 rebounds on 13 of 20 shooting, Donte DiVincenzo added 22 points while Julius Randle chipped in with 11 points, but no other player scored more than five points. As a team, the Timberwolves shot just 38 percent from the field and 13 of 38 from the 3-point line as they kept the Warriors in check in the first half to take the early lead. However, the Timberwolves just couldn’t recover after getting blown out in the third quarter. Edwards had a rough game with the ball as he committed eight turnovers, Randle shot just three of 11 from the field while Jaden McDaniels scored just three points on one of eight shooting.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last 12 home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last nine night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last five night games following a home loss.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last nine road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Timberwolves.
- The Timberwolves have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last seven home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last six games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.5%) this season.
- Julius Randle is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.5) this season.
- Will Richard has recorded 3+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves have used only six different starting fives this season – fewest in the league.
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.7).
Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors are still playing without Seth Curry, Jimmy Butler III, and Jonathan Kuminga, while the Timberwolves are still missing Terrence Shannon Jr.
The Warriors certainly had it all their way in the second half of last night’s win, and they did it while shooting just 42 percent from the field for the game. It’s always tough to beat the same team in their own building two nights in a row, but I still don’t think the line should be this high. Maybe the Timberwolves get their revenge in this one, but I still have the Warriors coming away with the cover.
