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NY Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 5-14-24 Picks

Indiana Pacers (53-40) vs. NY Knicks (56-36)
May 14, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Knicks -2.5; Over/Under: +217.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers and NY Knicks meet Tuesday in Game 5 East Second Round NBA Playoffs action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a NY Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers look for a third straight win to take a surprising 3-2 series lead. The Pacers are 1-4 SU on the road in these playoffs. The Indiana Pacers are averaging 114.8 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.7 points and 7.9 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 19.1 points and 5.3 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer and Andrew Nembhard is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

NY Knicks Betting Preview

The NY Knicks hope to keep the trend alive of the home team winning every game in this series. The Knicks are 4-1 SU at home in these playoffs. The NY Knicks are averaging 109.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 32.9 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 16.7 points and 3.7 rebounds. Josh Hart is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 7 rebounds. The NY Knicks are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free throw line. The NY Knicks are allowing 39.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

NY Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Injury Report

The Pacers will remain without Bennedict Mathurin, who is out for the season with a shoulder injury and hasn’t played since March 5. Nobody else was on the Pacers’ injury report at the time of this posting. Julius Randle, Bojan Bogdanovic and Mitchell Robinson are out for the season for the Knicks. O.G. Anunoby is questionable with a hamstring injury he suffered in game 2. However, reports indicate Anunoby hasn’t been running during his recovery, and Tom Thibodeau said on Sunday that he’s only been doing “pool work”.

Why the New York Knicks will win

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last 10 playoff road games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Knicks have won each of their last 10 Eastern Conference Semifinals home games against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Knicks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against the Pacers following a loss.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 playoff games as underdogs.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won nine of their last 11 Tuesday games as underdogs.
  • The Knicks have lost Game 5 in each of their last three playoff series’ when tied 2-2.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last nine Tuesday games as road underdogs.
  • The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Knicks’ last 10 home games have gone OVER the total points line.

NY Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The NY Knicks are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they are at home, where they’re 4-1 SU in these playoffs. The Indiana Pacers are 1-4 SU on the road in these playoffs, which includes two losses at MSG. There’s also some hope that Anunoby returns.

However, as I’ve said in past write-ups, this series favors the Pacers the longer it goes. The Knicks are banged up, and their starters continue to log heavy minutes. There’s only so much you can ask from Brunson, Hart and DiVincenzo, and I do believe game 4 was a sign of tired legs and exhaustion. Sure, the MSG crowd will give the Knicks a boost, but the value remains with the Pacers given the health and freshness of the roster. Give me the Pacers and the free bucket in a game they could easily win outright.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Indiana Pacers +2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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