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Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction 3/1/26 NBA Picks Today

Memphis Grizzlies (22-36) vs. Indiana Pacers (15-45)
March 1, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers +1.5; Over/Under: 238.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Memphis Grizzlies and Indiana Pacers meet Sunday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Pacers vs. Grizzlies prediction. This article will include a Pacers vs. Grizzlies pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Warriors, beat the Mavs, and play the Timberwolves next. The Grizzlies have lost 7 of their last 9 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 19.6 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the 76ers and Hornets, and they play the Clippers next. The Pacers have lost 9 of their last 11 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 111.5 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 119.3 points on 48.7 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.9 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Andrew Nembhard is averaging 17.4 points and 2.8 rebounds. Obi Toppin is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The home team has won each of the last six games between the Grizzlies and Pacers.
  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last nine Sunday games.
  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last six games against Central Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Central Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last six home games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Grizzlies’ last six Sunday road games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

  • Jay Huff ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.4) this season.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

  • Scotty Pippen Jr. leads all Grizzlies players for steals per 36 minutes (4.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pacers rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.5).
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (109.7).
  • The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
  • The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to lose 10+ games when leading after Q3 this season.

Pacers vs Grizzlies Injury Report

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Johnny Furphy, Ivica Zubac, and Aaron Nesmith. Pascal Siakam is doubtful. Andrew Nembhard and Obi Toppin are questionable.

The Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, and Santi Aldama. Kyle Anderson is doubtful.

Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction

I know the Pacers’ injury report is disgusting and they’re not winning, but the same thing can be said for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have done nothing to deserve being a favorite on the road. If anything, the Pacers have seen 10 of their 15 wins come at home this season. Yes, the Grizzlies are coming off a nice underdog win over the Mavs, but that doesn’t mean I’m excited to lay points with them on the road. There are better games out there folks but if I have to get involved, I’m going to side with the home team, the Pacers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Indiana Pacers +1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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