Pacers vs Heat Prediction 1/10/26 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers meet Saturday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Pacers vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Pacers vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Pelicans, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Thunder next. The Heat have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 120.1 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24.4 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Cavs, beat the Hornets, and they play the Celtics next. The Pacers have lost 31 of their last 38 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 110.8 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 119.7 points on 48.6 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.7 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 17.8 points and 5.5 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Pacers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Heat following a win.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in four of their last five games as home underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Pacers have lost each of their last 20 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last nine games between the Heat and Pacers have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last six night games against the Pacers following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• T.J. McConnell has made the most free-throws without a miss (11) of any player in the league this season.
• Jay Huff ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (4.0) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded eight games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• Kel’el Ware is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.3) and three-point shooting percentage (43.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for field goal percentage this season (44.3%).
• The Pacers rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.7).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.4).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.8).

Pacers vs Heat Injury Report

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, and Isaiah Jackson. Andrew Nembhard is questionable.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier.

Pacers vs Heat Prediction

The Heat are as healthy as they’ve been in a while, as there are no injuries on their report at the time of this writing. They’re also well rested after that game against the Bulls was postponed. However, the Heat are a team that consistently plays down to its competition and isn’t a team I’m thrilled to lay big numbers with. The underdog has covered 7 of the last 10 games between the Heat and Pacers. I’ll take a shot with the Pacers and the points on Saturday night.