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Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction 2/24/25 NBA Picks Today

Denver Nuggets (37-20) vs. Indiana Pacers (32-23)
February 24, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers +5; Over/Under: 246.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets and Indiana Pacers meet Monday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Pacers vs Nuggets Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Hornets, lost to the Lakers, and they play the Bucks, Pistons, and Celtics next. The Nuggets have 17 road wins and are fighting with the Grizzlies for the second seed in the West.



The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.7 points on 50.9 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.7 points and 12.7 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.3 points and 3.9 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.9 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers beat the Grizzlies and Clippers, and they play the Raptors, Heat, and Bulls next. The Pacers have won three straight games and are currently in the fourth seed in the East.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 116.2 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 115.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.6 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 17.9 points and 3.6 rebounds. Benedict Mathurin is the third double-digit scorer and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won five of their last six games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last five night games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Pacers teams that held a winning record.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last four night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last 11 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Pacers have lost each of their last eight games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six night games following a home loss.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points (593) this season.
  • The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points per game (10.8) this season.
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.2).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (29.3).

Pacers vs Nuggets Injury Report

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson. T.J. McConnell and James Johnson are questionable.

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, Peyton Watson, and Vlatko Cancar.

Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are going to be favored more times than not because they’re the Nuggets. The problem is we’re getting the Pacers at home in the underdog role. The Pacers have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA since January, and they’re 16-8 SU at home. The Nuggets have seen 11 of their 20 losses come on the road, and they’re coming off an ugly loss to the Lakers. The Pacers are averaging 130 points during their three-game winning streak, and shots fall at a higher clip at home.

If the Pacers can get out and run, they’re more than capable of beating the Nuggets outright. Even on the end of a back-to-back, I’m siding with the Pacers and the points. I might even sprinkle a little something on the ML as well.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Indiana Pacers +5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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