Miami Heat (36-44) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (21-59)
April 11, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Pelicans +13; Over/Under: 216
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans meet on Friday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center. Here’s a Pelicans vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Pelicans vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Bulls, beat the 76ers, and they play the Wizards next. The Heat have won seven of their last 10 games and are currently the 10th seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 110 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Bucks and Nets, and they play the Thunder next. The Pelicans have lost 15 of their last 19 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 110 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 118.7 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 24.6 points and 7.2 rebounds, while CJ McCollum is averaging 21.1 points and 3.8 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Boston is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Pelicans have won six of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last 10 games against Southwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Pelicans have lost each of their last eight games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Heat teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites after losing as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Pelicans’ last seven games at Smoothie King Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last four games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Pelicans vs Heat Injury Report
The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado, Kelly Olynyk, Jordan Hawkins, CJ McCollum, and Brandon Boston.
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Pelle Larsson, Kevin Love, and Dru Smith. Isaiah Stevens is questionable.
Pelicans vs Heat Prediction
The Heat need to win to have any chance of getting out of the 10th seed, and the Pelicans look like a team that’s ready for the season to end. The problem is the Heat can’t be trusted in the favorite role because they play down to their competition year after year. Heck, even in a big game against the Bulls, the Heat fell flat on their face. The Heat are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a double-digit favorite. The Heat should win, but I’m not laying this many points. It’s either the Pelicans or pass.
