Miami Heat (3-3) vs. Phoenix Suns (6-1)
November 6, 2024 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns -5.5; Over/Under: +222.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat travel to the Footprint Center to do battle with the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday night. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Pick.
Miami Heat
The Miami Heat have been in decent form as they’ve split their first six games, but they will be eager to bounce back in this one after falling painfully short to the Kings in a 111-110 loss on Monday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 27 points and six assists on nine of 19 shooting, Tyler Herro added 27 points on nine of 18 shooting while Bam Adebayo tallied 16 points with eight rebounds, five assists, three steals, and four blocks.
As a team, the Heat shot just 43 percent from the field and 15 of 36 from the 3-point line as they dominated the first half to build a 15-point lead, only to see their hard work go to waste in the third quarter where they got outscored by 37-17. Still, the Heat were in the contest and actually led by three points with just 33 seconds remaining before the Kings drained the game-winner with just 0.1 seconds left on the clock.
Phoenix Suns
Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been on fire as they’ve won six of their first seven games overall and they will be looking to build on their current five-game win streak after sneaking past the 76ers in a 118-116 home win on Monday. Kevin Durant led the team with 35 points and six assists on 14 of 20 shooting, Bradley Beal added 17 points on seven of 10 shooting while Jusuf Nurkic and Royce O’Neale each scored 15 points.
As a team, the Suns shot 51 percent from the field and 11 of 32 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble when they trailed by seven points in the fourth quarter before they closed the final 4:03 on a 14-3 run to escape with the impressive comeback victory in front of their home fans.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Suns have won each of their last 13 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have lost each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Suns have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites against the Heat.
Total Points Facts
- Fourteen of the Heat’s last 15 games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Suns’ last seven night games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Suns rank 30th for second-chance points (65) this season.
- The Suns rank 30th for points in the paint per game (41.1) this season.
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for Q3 points per game this season (21.8).
- The Heat rank 30th for points in the paint (252) this season.
Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Heat are still a little shorthanded with Kevin Love and Jaime Jacquez Jr still out, while the Suns are expecting to have Bradley Beal in the lineup for this contest. The Heat have yet to hit their stride this season and they will be kicking themselves after losing by one point to the Kings in their last outing. The Suns haven’t been setting the world on fire with their play, but they’ve been going well enough to win six of their first seven games and I think that trend continues as the Suns get the win and cover at the reasonable line at home.
