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Pistons vs Bucks Prediction 4/11/25 NBA Picks Today

Milwaukee Bucks (46-34) vs. Detroit Pistons (44-36)
April 11, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons -5.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and Detroit Pistons meet on Friday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Pistons vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Pistons vs Bucks Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Timberwolves and Pelicans, and they play the Pistons next. The Bucks have won six straight games and are the fifth seed in the East.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.8 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.4 points and 11.9 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 24.9 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer, and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons lost to the Kings, beat the Knicks, and they play the Bucks next. The Pistons have lost four of their last six games and are the sixth seed in the East.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 115.2 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 113.2 points on 46 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 25.9 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Malik Beasley is averaging 16.2 points and 1.7 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer, and Jalen Duren is grabbing 10.4 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

  • The Bucks have lost each of their last eight road games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have won each of the last 11 games between the Bucks and Pistons.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won each of their last 14 games at Little Caesars Arena.
  • The Pistons have lost each of their last 13 home games against Bucks teams that held a winning record.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Bucks’ last nine road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the last eight games between the Bucks and Pistons have gone OVER the total points line.

Pistons vs Bucks Injury Report

The Pistons will be without Jaden Ivey.

The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Jericho Sims, Tyler Smith, and Damian Lillard.

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction

This line is a bit rich when you consider the Bucks have won 11 straight games against the Pistons. The Pistons haven’t beaten the Bucks since January 2022. The Bucks are playing some of their best ball of the season, which includes six straight wins, and they’ve covered seven of their last 10 games. The Pistons have lost four of their last six games, and the defense has taken a step back. Maybe the Bucks are going to sit some guys after playing last night, and that’s playing into the line. I’m still going to grab the points with the Bucks, given the one-sided H2H history.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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