Oklahoma City Thunder (8-2) vs. Portland Trailblazers (6-3)
November 11, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Portland Trailblazers +1.5 ; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still missing Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams, but they could have Jaylin Williams back in the lineup, while the Trail Blazers are still missing Shaedon Sharpe and Ja Morant.
The Trail Blazers deserve so much credit for smashing the Thunder last night, as we rarely see it these days, even with all the injuries they have. However, it’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row, especially a quality team like the Thunder. There’s definitely a case to be made for the Trail Blazers at home, but I get the feeling that the Thunder are about to get some sweet revenge in this spot.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in terrific form as they’ve won eight of their first 11 games, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their four-game win streak halted by the Trail Blazers in a 123-103 road defeat last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 26 points, eight rebounds and three assists; Jared McCain added 21 points, while Ajay Mitchell chipped in with 14 points.
As a team, the Thunder shot 44 percent from the field and eight of 22 from the 3-point line as they kept pace with the Trail Blazers in a tightly contested first half, but that all changed in the third quarter, when the Thunder leaked 38 points to trail by double digits the rest of the way.
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Portland Trail Blazers were looking for a win after dropping two games in a row, and they are now brimming with confidence after last night’s big win over the in-form Thunder. Damian Lillard led the team with 25 points on eight of 15 shooting, Deni Avdija added 24 points with eight assists, while Sidy Cissoko chipped in with 17 points.
As a team, the Trail Blazers shot 44 percent from the field and 19 of 50 from the 3-point line as they withstood an early barrage from the Thunder to keep the game close until they dominated the third quarter by 38-21 to pull away and make it look easy in the end. Donovan Clingan scored just seven points while Scoot Henderson shot just three of 12 from the field for his 11 points.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The Trail Blazers have won 15 of their last 17 home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last seven games between the Thunder and Trail Blazers.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Moda Center.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 14 games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last six games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites following a loss.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last eight games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Trail Blazers’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Trail Blazers rank 1st in the league for Q2 points per game this season (33.7).
- The Trail Blazers rank T1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (70.0%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.2).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.8%).
