Raptors vs Heat Prediction 4/7/26 NBA Picks Today
Miami Heat (41-37) vs. Toronto Raptors (43-35)
April 7, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Raptors -1.5; Over/Under: 238.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Raptors vs. Heat Prediction. This article will include a Raptors vs. Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Celtics and beat the Wizards, and they play the Raptors next. The Heat have lost 8 of their last 11 games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 120.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 117.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 22.1 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.9 points and 3.9 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors lost to the Celtics, beat the Grizzlies, and play the Heat next. The Raptors have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
The Toronto Raptors are averaging 114.3 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 112 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.4 points and 5.6 rebounds, while RJ Barrett is averaging 19 points and 5.3 rebounds. Scottie Barnes is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickley is dishing 6 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Toronto Raptors will win
- The Raptors have won nine of their last 10 home games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have lost eight of their last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Raptors’ last eight games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The underdogs have won three of the Heat’s last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Raptors have lost three of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points: Facts
- Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Raptors’ last four home games against the Heat, following a road loss, have gone OVER the total points line.
Toronto Raptors Player Facts
- Scottie Barnes is the only player in the league to have recorded 25+ rebounds in a game this season.
- Brandon Ingram ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for points per game (21.3) this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Davion Mitchell has recorded 15 games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season—more than any player in the league.
- Bam Adebayo is one of only two players in the league to have scored 60+ points in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Raptors rank T1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (59.0%).
- The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points (1470) this season.
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (43.5).
Raptors vs Heat Injury Report
Chucky Hepburn is out for the Raptors. Immanuel Quickley, Collin Murray-Boyles, and Sandro Mamukelashvili are questionable.
The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Nikola Jovic.
Raptors vs Heat Prediction
Important game for both teams that are fighting for seeding position. At their best the Heat are probably the better side but they haven’t played like it. The Heat are way too hit or miss and nothing surprises me with them anymore. I still want little to do with them. The Raptors should have the edge at home and they beat the Heat twice on the road back in December. Home court is the decider for me. I also just don’t trust the Heat night to night. One of the more disappointing teams in the league. Give me the dinosaurs.

