Rockets vs Raptors Prediction 3/10/26 NBA Picks Today
Toronto Raptors (36-27) vs. Houston Rockets (39-24)
March 10, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -4.5; Over/Under: 216.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Toronto Raptors and Houston Rockets meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs. Raptors Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs. Raptors pick.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors lost to the Timberwolves, beat the Mavs, and play the Pelicans next. The Raptors have won 11 of their last 19 games.
The Toronto Raptors are averaging 113.6 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 46 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 19.1 points and 8.2 rebounds. RJ Barrett is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickley is dishing 5.9 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Trail Blazers and lost to the Spurs, and they play the Nuggets next. The Rockets have won 6 of their last 10 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.2 points and 9.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Raptors have lost each of their last 10 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have won each of the last nine games between the Raptors and Rockets.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Raptors teams that held a winning record.
Why the Toronto Raptors will win
- The Raptors have won four of their last five games as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Rockets have lost four of their last six games as favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the last eight night games between the Raptors and Rockets have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Raptors’ last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Alperen Sengun ranks T1st in the league for points in the paint (772) this season.
- Amen Thompson ranks 3rd in the league for points in the paint (742) this season.
Toronto Raptors Player Facts
- Scottie Barnes is the only player in the league to have recorded 25+ rebounds in a game this season.
- Immanuel Quickley ranks 9th amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (3.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.2).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (15.2).
- The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points (1189) this season.
- The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points per game (18.9) this season.
Rockets vs Raptors Injury Report
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams.
Collin Murray-Boyles and Trayce Jackson-Davis are out for the Raptors. Jakob Poeltl is questionable.
Rockets vs Raptors Prediction
The Rockets should be favored at home, as they’re the more talented team with the higher ceiling. However, the Rockets have underachieved here and there and they’re just 28-35 ATS on the season. We saw the Wizards take the Rockets down to the wire and the Warriors beat them as near double-digit underdogs. The Raptors are one of the surprises in the league this season; they compete and they have 19 road wins. When the Raptors play to their potential, they can hang with a lot of teams. I’ll grab the points with the Raptors.



