Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction 10/25/26 NBA Picks Today

The Memphis Grizzlies have been one of the surprise teams in the league so far as they are looking to build on their current two-game win streak after taking down the Warriors in a 111-108 road win on Friday. Ty Jerome led the team with 28 points and five assists on 11-of-22 shooting, Cameron Boozer added 25 points with 13 rebounds and six assists, while Jaylen Wells chipped in with 17 points.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot 47 percent from the field and 15 of 39 from the 3-point line as they leaked 34 points in the third quarter to trail by as many as 12 points, before they played great defense in the fourth quarter to take the lead on a clutch shot from Boozer with just 20 seconds left on the clock.

Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have yet to win a game this season, but they certainly played much better in their 128-120 loss to the Trail Blazers on Friday. Darius Acuff Jr. led the team in scoring with 33 points on 10-of-26 shooting, Domantas Sabonis racked up a triple-double of 27 points with 19 rebounds and 10 assists on 10-of-13 shooting, while Zach LaVine chipped in with 22 points.

As a team, the Kings shot  46 percent from the field and eight of 31 from the 3-point line as they got off to a spirited start and took a narrow lead into halftime, only to get blown away in the third quarter where they got outscored by 44-26 to have them trailing by 14 points.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last eight road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Kings have won seven of their last eight home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Kings have covered the spread in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Kings have lost each of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Grizzlies have won each of their last six road games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Grizzlies’ last eight games as favorites against the Kings have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Kings’ last eight home games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Domantas Sabonis ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (18.5) this season.
• Keegan Murray ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Ty Jerome ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (36.5) this season.
• Cameron Boozer is the only player in the league averaging a double-double while shooting at least 30% from three this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kings rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-16.5).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (1.0).
• The Grizzlies rank 30th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (9.0).
• The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (79.0).

The Grizzlies are still missing Zach Edey, and they are keeping an eye on Cedric Coward, who is questionable with a wrist injury, while the Kings are still missing Maxime Raynaud, Ben Simmons, and Dylan Cardwell, with Keegan Murray questionable. The Kings deserve some credit for their improved performance on Friday, but I just don’t think we’re getting enough points from the bookies to back the Kings right now. The Grizzlies have been surprisingly good so far, and I think they’ll keep it going with a win and cover at this short line.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Memphis -4.5

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