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Kings vs Bucks Prediction 1/4/26 NBA Picks Today

Milwaukee Bucks (15-20) vs. Sacramento Kings (8-27)
January 4, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sacramento Kings +6.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks invade the Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Sunday night. Here’s a Kings vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Kings vs Bucks Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in pretty good form lately as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back here after getting beaten by the Hornets in a 122-121 win on Friday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 30 points, 10 rebounds and five assists, Ryan Rollins added 29 points with eight assists on 11 of 13 shooting while Bobby Portis chipped in with 20 points on seven of 11 shooting off the bench. As a team, the Bucks shot 52 percent from the field and 16 of 37 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the intensity of the Hornets early on. They quickly fell behind by 16 points, but they chipped away at the deficit and made their move with 71 points in the second half to steal the game on an alley oop dunk from Antetokounmpo. With just 4.7 seconds left on the clock.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 10 of their last 12 games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a four-game slide after getting scorched by the Suns in a 129-102 road defeat on Friday. Keegan Murray led the team with 23 points on nine of 17 shooting, Russell Westbrook added 17 points with nine rebounds and six assists while Keon Ellis chipped in with 14 points off the bench. As a team, the Kings shot just 41 percent from the field and 10 of 28 from the 3-point line as they hung tough with the Suns in a closely contested first half. Only to get outscored by 67-46 in the second half to suffer a fourth straight defeat by at least 14 points.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Bucks have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
  • The Kings have won each of their last six games against Bucks teams that held a losing record.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a home win.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won each of their last 10 night games against Kings teams that held a losing record.
  • The Kings have lost each of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a road loss.
  • The road team has covered the spread in seven of the Bucks’ last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Bucks’ last 19 games as favorites against the Kings have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Kings’ last nine games against the Bucks following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

  • Russell Westbrook ranks 9th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.7) this season.
  • DeMar DeRozan ranks 10th amongst qualified players for FT% (89.8%) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Bobby Portis ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (48.3%) this season.
  • Myles Turner is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Kings rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-11.8).
  • The Kings rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.9%).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.5%).

Kings vs Bucks Prediction

The Bucks are keeping an eye on Gary Harris, who is questionable with a neck injury, while the Kings have ruled out Domantas Sabonis again, with Zach LaVine listed as questionable. The Bucks come into this meeting with almost a full squad, and they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their dramatic comeback win over the Hornets in their last outing. So, I like their chances of covering this modest spread against this ice-cold Kings squad still missing a couple key players. Maybe this game is close in the first half, but in the end I have the Bucks pulling away for the comfortable win.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Milwaukee -6.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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