Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction 3/12/25 NBA Picks Today

The Dallas Mavericks and the San Antonio Spurs collide once again at the Frost Bank Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs Mavericks Pick.

The Dallas Mavericks have really been struggling as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall. But they will be feeling much better after they put an end to a five-game losing streak with a 133-129 road win over the Spurs on Monday. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team with 28 points, seven rebounds, and six assists, Klay Thompson added 26 points, Naji Marshall added 23 points while Kessler Edwards chipped in with 22 points on nine of 12 shooting. As a team, the Mavericks shot 53 percent from the field and 12 of 38 from the 3-point line as they battled with the Spurs in a close game that could’ve gone either way. They connected on eight straight free throws in the final 45.1 seconds to earn the narrow win. The Mavs will meet the Rockets after this game.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have been in a slump of their own as they’ve lost eight of their last 10 games and they will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after falling just short to the Mavericks on Monday. Harrison Barnes led the team with 29 points on 12 of 14 shooting, Devin Vassell added 24 points on 10 of 22 shooting while Keldon Johnson provided the spark off the bench with 28 points on 10 of 16 shooting. As a team, the Spurs shot 52 percent from the field and 17 of 41 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter to take the early lead. They were right there with the Mavericks until the final minute where the Mavericks were just more clinical down the stretch. The Spurs will face the Hornets following this one.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Mavericks have lost seven of their last eight games against the Spurs after winning as underdogs.
• The Spurs have won four of their last five home games against Southwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games following a win.
• The home team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Mavericks and Spurs.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last 14 night games against the Spurs.
• The Spurs have lost 17 of their last 18 Wednesday games at Frost Bank Center.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Spurs.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Wednesday night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.1).
• The Spurs rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.4).
• The Mavericks rank 28th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.3).
• The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.6).

The Mavericks are still missing a host of players including Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, and Daniel Gafford, while the Spurs are keeping eyes on Devin Vassell and Jeremy Sochan who are both listed as questionable for this one. The Mavericks have expectedly been struggling with the growing injury list, but they were able to get a much-needed win over the Spurs in their last game. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row and the Spurs were more than competitive on Monday, but they could be missing two more role players. This makes it tough to accept them as the favorites in this one. With that being said, I am sticking with the Mavericks to get the cover behind big games from Dinwiddie and Thompson again.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Dallas +5.5

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