Spurs vs Warriors Prediction 3/30/25 NBA Picks Today

The San Antonio Spurs play host to the Golden State Warriors at the Frost Bank Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Spurs vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs Warriors Pick.

The Golden State Warriors have been in decent shape as they’ve won three of their past five games and they will be eager to maintain that momentum after routing the Pelicans in a 111-95 road win on Friday. Stephen Curry led the team with 23 points, six assists and three steals, Jimmy Butler added 18 points with 10 rebounds and four assists while Quinten Post chipped in with 15 points off the bench. As a team, the Warriors shot just 41 percent from the field and 13 of 55 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sluggish start. They had to work their way back from an early 12-point deficit, before they dominated the fourth quarter by 28-13 to win comfortably in the end.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have cooled off a bit as they are now looking to snap a three-game slide after getting trounced by the Celtics in a 121-111 home defeat last night. Keldon Johnson led the team with 23 points on nine of 12 shooting off the bench, Stephon Castle added 22 points with eight assists while Jeremy Sochan chipped in with 18 points, eight rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 43 percent from the field and 14 of 40 from the 3-point line as they got off to a terrible start and allowed 36 points in the first quarter to fall behind by double digits. The Spurs showed plenty of fight to avoid the game from becoming a complete blowout in the second half, but the Spurs were always fighting an uphill battle after falling behind by 17 points.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won four of their last five games as home underdogs following a loss.
• The Warriors have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a loss.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Spurs have lost 10 of their last 11 night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in five of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.1).
• The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for blocks per game this season (5.8).
• The Warriors rank 3rd in the league for rebounds per game this season (45.6).
• The Warriors rank 3rd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (42.3).

The Warriors are still missing Gary Payton, but they should have Stephen Curry back in the lineup, while the Spurs are still playing without De’Aaron Fox and Victor Wembenyama. The Warriors have done a decent job of keeping their heads above water without Curry in the lineup, but they get a real boost with the news that Curry is likely to return for this contest. The Spurs were good enough to beat the Warriors by 104-94 back on Nov. 23, but a lot has changed since then, and I am expecting the opposite result in this fixture. The Warriors were really starting to click before Curry went down, and I think his return sparks them on another run, beginning with a comfortable win and cover in this game.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State -11.5

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