Thunder vs 76ers Prediction 12/28/25 NBA Picks Today
Philadelphia 76ers (16-13) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (26-5)
December 28, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Philadelphia 76ers and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Sunday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs 76ers Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs 76ers Pick.
Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia 76ers lost to the Nets and Bulls, and they play the Grizzlies next. The 76ers have won 7 of their last 12 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 116.1 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.2 points on 46 percent shooting. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 30.8 points and 7 assists, while Joel Embiid is averaging 21.8 points and 6.5 rebounds. Kelly Oubre Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Paul George is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Grizzlies, lost to the Spurs, and then play the Hawks next. The Thunder have won 30 of their last 35 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121.9 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 43 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.5 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.9 points and 7.8 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 83.8 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 17 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The 76ers have lost each of their last 11 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games at Paycom Center against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win
- The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight games against 76ers teams that held a winning record.
- The 76ers have won seven of their last eight day games against Western Conference opponents.
- The 76ers have covered the spread in each of their last eight games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the 76ers’ last seven road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Cason Wallace ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.2) this season.
- Chet Holmgren is the only player to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
Philadelphia 76ers Player Facts
- Tyrese Maxey ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (152) this season.
- Andre Drummond ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (16.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (107.4).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+13.9).
- The 76ers rank 30th in the league for Q3 points per game this season (25.7).
- The 76ers rank 1st in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (24.8).
Thunder vs 76ers Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Ousmane Dieng, Nikola Topic, and Jaylin Williams.
The 76ers will be without Kelly Oubre Jr., Joel Embiid, and Trendon Watford.
Thunder vs 76ers Prediction
The Thunder should be motivated for a bounce back spot after losing 3 of their last 4 games and getting bullied by the Spurs. However, this is a massive line for an early start where we tend to see slow, sluggish performances. Also, the 76ers are 17-11-1 ATS on the season, which makes them the third-best cover team in the NBA with a cover percentage of 60.7 percent. Only the Knicks and Suns cover at a higher percentage. This line feels a bit too thick. Give me the 76ers and the points.
