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Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction 1/23/25 NBA Picks Today

Dallas Mavericks (23-21) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (36-7)
January 23, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -13; Over/Under: 219.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Thursday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Hornets and Mavs, and they play the Celtics, Wizards, and Pelicans next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115.2 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.2 points and 4.5 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.



Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Nets and Jazz, and they play the Trail Blazers, Warriors, and Kings next. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.5 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 103.6 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.5 points and 6.1 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.6 points and 5.7 rebounds. Isaiah Hartenstein is the third double-digit scorer and Luguentz Dort is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 12 games at Paycom Center.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last six road games.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last eight games at Paycom Center against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won five of their last six games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have lost six of their last eight games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games following a home win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (103.9).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.7).
  • The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (28.8).
  • The Dallas Mavericks are one of only three teams to win a road game against the Thunder this season.

Thunder vs Mavericks Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, and Ajay Mitchell.

The Mavs will continue to be without Dante Exum, Jaden Hardy, Dwight Powell, Dereck Lively II, and Luka Doncic. Naji Marshall, Quentin Grimes, and Klay Thompson are questionable.

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks continue to rack up losses as half of their rotation is out due to injuries. It doesn’t help when a team is banged up and on the end of a back-to-back. The Oklahoma City Thunder didn’t cover last night, but they’re still the best cover team in the NBA with a 29-12-3 ATS record. The Thunder have also covered 15 of their last 20 games as a double-digit favorite. I want nothing to do with the Mavs given their injury situation, and betting against OKC doesn’t seem wise. I’ll lay the big chalk with the Thunder at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -13

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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