Portland Trailblazers (28-35) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (51-11)
March 7, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Portland Trail Blazers and the Oklahoma City Thunder do battle at the Paycom Center on Friday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Trail Blazers Pick.
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
The Portland Trail Blazers have been in good shape as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall. But they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after getting scorched by the Celtics in a 128-118 road defeat on Wednesday. Anfernee Simons led the team with 30 points and six assists on 12 of 21 shooting, Shaedon Sharpe added 25 points while Jabari Walker chipped in with 22 points on eight of nine shooting off the bench. As a team, the Trail Blazers shot 50 percent from the field and 16 of 40 from the 3-point line. The Celtics had Payton Pritchard and Derrick White combining for a total of 19 made 3-pointers as a duo. The Trail Blazers just had no chance and trailed in this one by as many as 25 points before they finished with a flurry of points to keep the final margin respectable. The Trail Blazers will play the Pistons, Warriors, and Knicks next.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been in red-hot form as they’ve won 14 of their last 16 games overall. They will be gunning for a sixth straight victory after making light work of the Grizzlies in a 120-103 road win on Wednesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 41 points and eight assists on 14 of 25 shooting, Jalen Williams added 20 points with nine assists while Aaron Wiggins chipped in with 16 points off the bench. As a team, the Thunder shot 50 percent from the field and 15 of 36 from the 3-point line as they went back and forth with the Grizzlies in a close contest. The Thunder clamped down defensively and went on a pivotal 11-0 run late in the third quarter to start to pull away.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 19 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last 13 road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last eight Friday games against the Trail Blazers.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against Northwest Division opponents.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The road team has won seven of the Thunder’s last eight games.
- The Thunder have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Thunder’s last four games.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last 11 games as favorites following a road win has gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Trail Blazers’ last nine games at Paycom Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction
The Trail Blazers are still shorthanded with Deni Avdija and Jerami Grant both listed as questionable, while the Thunder are still missing Luguentz Dort, they have decided to rest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and they have Chet Holmgren listed as questionable. Both teams are missing so many players that it’s not surprising to see the line so short. The Thunder are more than capable of getting the win without their leader, but the Trail Blazers will take the fact that they rested SGA as a sign of disrespect. With that being said, I think the Trail Blazers pull off the upset in this spot behind big games from Simons and Sharpe.
