
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction 3/7/25 NBA Picks Today
Memphis Grizzlies (38-24) vs. Dallas Mavericks (32-31)
March 7, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +10.5; Over/Under: 239.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks meet Friday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Hawks and Thunder, and they play the Pelicans, Suns, and Jazz next. The Grizzlies are 3-8 in their last 11 games and have dropped to the fourth seed in the West.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 123 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.7 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 20.9 points and 7.4 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.5 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Bucks and Kings, and they play the Suns, Spurs, and Rockets next. The Mavs have lost five of their last six games, but each of their last five wins has come at home.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.6 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kai Jones is averaging 21 points and 8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Klay Thompson is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Grizzlies have lost 14 of their last 15 road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mavericks have won nine of their last 10 home games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Southwest Division opponents.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last five games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.3).
- The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (28.7).
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for free throws made per game this season (19.0).
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (24.4).
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Injury Report
The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Kai Jones, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Jaden Hardy, Dante Exum, and PJ Washington. Caleb Martin is questionable with a hip injury.
The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Jaren Jackson Jr., Zyon Pullin, and Yuki Zawamura. John Konchar and Santi Aldama are questionable for the Grizzlies.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Grizzlies should win this game comfortably because the Mavs have their entire roster on the injury list. However, the Grizzlies have been in a slump these last few weeks, and that includes four straight losses and five straight failed covers. The Grizzlies are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games. I’m not getting the warm and fuzzy from the Grizzlies, and I have no interest in laying double-digit chalk on the road. The Mavs have their issues and there’s a black cloud hanging over Dallas. It’s still the points or pass for me on Friday night.