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Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction 3/21/25 NBA Picks Today

New Orleans Pelicans (19-51) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (40-31)
March 21, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -14; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Orleans Pelicans and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Friday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Pelicans Pick.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Pistons, beat the Timberwolves, and they play the Pistons, 76ers, and Warriors next. The Pelicans look for two straight wins for the first time since February 25-27.


The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 110.4 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 119.1 points on 48.4 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 24.4 points and 7.3 rebounds, while CJ McCollum is averaging 20.9 points and 3.8 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer and Brandon Boston is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Pacers and Pelicans, and they play the Suns, Pistons, and Nuggets next. The Timberwolves hope to avoid three straight losses for the first time since December 31 – January 4.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 113.4 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.6 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 18.7 points and 4.7 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Pelicans have lost 18 of their last 19 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

  • The Timberwolves have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Pelicans have won each of their last six Friday games against the Timberwolves.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites following a home loss.
  • The Pelicans have covered the spread in five of their last six night games at Target Center.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (66.2%).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.6).
  • The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for defensive rating this season (119.5).
  • The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for point differential per game this season (-8.5).

Timberwolves vs Pelicans Injury Report

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, and Brandon Boston.

Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction

The Timberwolves should be motivated after just losing to the Pelicans as 13.5-point favorites, but they just lost to the Pels as double-digit favorites. In fact, the Timberwolves are coming off back-to-back losses as double-digit favorites. It’s hard to follow that up and lay this many points. The Timberwolves have played with their food all season, and it’s led to a 32-38-1 ATS record and an SU record that would have them in the play-in tournament if the season ended today.

The Timberwolves are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite, and they’ve outright lost four times this season as a double-digit favorite. This has nothing to do with the Pelicans, it has everything to do with not trusting the Timberwolves with big numbers. It’s Pelicans or pass.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +14

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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