Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction 1/24/26 NBA Picks Today
Golden State Warriors (25-21) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18)
January 24, 2026 5:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5; Over/Under: 234.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Saturday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Raptors and Mavs, and they’ll play the Timberwolves next. The Warriors have won 12 of their last 18 games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 116.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.1 points and 5.1 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12.3 points and 3.2 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and De’Anthony Melton is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Bulls and Jazz, and they play the Warriors next. The Timberwolves have lost 4 straight games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 120.1 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 115 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.9 points and 5 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.4 points and 5.4 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last nine games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last six day games at Target Center.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Timberwolves have lost 11 of their last 12 day games following a home loss.
- The Warriors have won five of their last six games following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Timberwolves following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last six home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last six road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.6%) this season.
- Julius Randle is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.6) this season.
- Al Horford has made the most free-throws without a miss (11) of any player in the league this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (71.1%).
- The Timberwolves have used only six different starting fives this season – fewest in the league.
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.5).
Timberwolves vs Warriors Injury Report
The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr.
The Warriors will be without Seth Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jimmy Butler.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction
I don’t want to lay chalk with a Timberwolves side that’s lost 4 straight games, which includes inexcusable losses to the Jazz and Bulls. The Timberwolves play with their food a lot, but this recent stretch is Patrick Ewing ugly. With that said, the Warriors are 8-14 SU on the road. The Warriors also have issues scoring, and they’re down two of their better scorers in Butler and Kuminga. Also, the Timberwolves are 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 games against the Warriors. I just can’t get there with the Warriors given their injury report. If the Timberwolves don’t cruise here, we have to take a step toward the panic button.

