Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction 4/4/25 NBA Picks Today

The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center on Friday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Nuggets Pick.

The Denver Nuggets have been in a rut as they’ve lost five of their last eight games overall. They will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short to the depleted Spurs in a 113-106 loss on Wednesday. Russell Westbrook led the team with 30 points, 11 rebounds and six assists, Hunter Tyson added 18 points while Jalen Pickett tallied a triple-double of 17 points with 11 rebounds and 10 assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot just 39 percent from the field and 13 of 44 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to claw their way back from an early 20-point deficit. Only to allow the Spurs to use a 13-2 run in the fourth quarter to slip away in a tight finish.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in great form as they’ve won six of their last eight games and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after last night’s 123-116 road win over the Lakers. Stephen Curry continued his stellar form with 37 points and six assists on 10 of 21 shooting, Brandin Podziemski added 28 points with eight rebounds and six assists while Draymond Green tallied eight points with 11 rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 47 percent from the field and 19 of 42 from the 3-point line as they poured in 34 points in the second quarter to take a 16-point lead. This proved to be just enough to hold off a late rally from the Lakers who cut the lead to just five points with 34.1 seconds remaining.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last six home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 road games following a home loss.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last eight games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games after winning as underdogs.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six road games following a home loss.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (42.5).
• The Warriors are one of only three teams to win a game when trailing by 20+ points after Q1 this season.
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.1).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.5%).

The Nuggets are still keeping eyes on Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther and Jamal Murray but they are expecting to have Christian Bruan and Nikola Jokic back in action, while the Warriors are still playing without Gary Payton II. The Nuggets have been struggling a bit lately, and their reserves weren’t good enough to get it done against the Spurs in their last outing.

They will be hoping that things return to normal without Jokic back in the lineup. The Warriors come into this meeting as the team in better form, but they will be playing on zero days’ rest after last night’s gritty win over the Lakers. It’s never fun backing a team playing their second game of a back to back set, but the Warriors are playing great basketball at the moment and I think they are great value as the home underdog in this spot.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State +1

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