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Royals vs Twins Prediction 4/10/25 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (4-8) vs. Kansas City Royals (6-6)
April 10, 2025 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -125 / Minnesota Twins +105; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Kansas City Royals meet on Thursday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Twins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Bailey Ober for the start here, and Ober is 0-1 with a 12.15 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Royals, Ober is 0-3 with an 8.22 ERA and 23 strikeouts. Michael Wacha will get the start here for Kansas City and is 0-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Twins, Wacha is 4-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to earn a series split after their 4-0 win over Kansas City in Wednesday’s matchup to improve to 4-8 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Twins Trying To Salvage Split From Series

Ty France and Matt Wallner each have a team-high 11 hits, with Wallner logging a team-high 4 doubles while France has 3 doubles. Harrison Bader added 9 hits with a team-high 3 hits and 10 RBIs, while Carlos Correa and Willi Castro each have 4 doubles as well on the year. Byron Buxton has a pair of doubles and a pair of stolen bases but also has a team-high 16 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Royals have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Twins following a home loss.
  • The Twins have won nine of their last 10 day games against the Royals following a road win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Royals at Kauffman Stadium following a win.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances against the Royals.
  • Ty France has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last five road games.
  • Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in three of his last eight appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Twins’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
  • Ty France has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four road games against AL Central opponents.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances at Kauffman Stadium.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this one looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Twins on Wednesday. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a division series against the Cleveland Guardians.

Royals Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Maikel Garcia has a team-high 12 hits with 5 extra base hits, including 3 doubles, 2 homers, and 6 RBI, while Jonathan India has added 10 hits with 3 doubles as well this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has 7 hits with 2 doubles, a triple, a home run, and a team-high 10 RBI, while Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-high 12 hits of his own with a team-leading 5 doubles. Witt Jr. also has a team-high 3 stolen bases, while Salvador Perez has 9 hits with 2 doubles, a home run, and 5 RBI.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The Royals have won 14 of their last 15 home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games following a road win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Thursday day games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a loss.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more hits in each of the Royals’ last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mark Canha has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Wacha has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit at least one home run in three of his last four Thursday appearances with the Royals as favorites.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances with the Royals as favorites against the Twins.
  • MJ Melendez has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five Thursday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last seven games between the Twins and Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Royals vs Twins Prediction

I’m on the Royals here. The Twins managed to get the win on Wednesday, but it’s not often you’re going to be able to win games by scoring a couple of runs, and I’m done trusting this Twins offense for anything. The Royals, for me, are still the better team in this matchup, and I give KC the edge in starting pitching, with Wacha’s success against the Twins compared to Ober’s issues against KC. Give me the Royals in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Kansas City Royals -125

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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