Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins – 9/24/20 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Miami Dolphins and Jacksonville Jaguars meet Thursday in week 3 NFL action at TIAA Bank Field for Thursday Night Football.

The Miami Dolphins need a victory here to prevent back-to-back 0-3 starts to a season. The Miami Dolphins have lost four of their last five road games. Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 519 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Fitzpatrick has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Mike Gesicki and DeVante Parker have combined for 260 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Isaiah Ford has nine receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Myles Gaskin leads the way with 86 yards on 16 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 26 points and 440.5 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 22 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has one sack and Christian Wilkins has two pass deflections.

The Jacksonville Jaguars look for their second home victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Jacksonville Jaguars have split their last eight home games. Gardner Minshew II is completing 75.4 percent of his passes for 512 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Minshew has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five games. DJ Chark Jr. and Keelan Cole Sr. have combined for 214 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Laviska Shenault Jr. has six receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 128 yards per contest, and James Robinson leads the way with 164 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 26.5 points and 399.5 yards per game. Myles Jack leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 22 tackles, K’Lavon Chaisson has one sack and Andrew Wingard has one interception.

The Dolphins are 4-1 against the spread  in their last 5 vs. AFC, 7-15 against the spread in their last 22 road games and 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 games overall. The Jaguars are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 vs. AFC, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games overall. The under is 9-4 in Jaguars last 13 home games. The road team is 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

The Miami Dolphins showed a lot of improvement in their game last week against the Buffalo Bills and were a play or two away from pulling off the upset. I’m still worried about the Dolphins inability to get stops defensively and the questionable status of cornerback Byron Jones doesn’t help, but there is progress being made under coach Brian Flores nonetheless. The Jacksonville Jaguars beat a playoff contender in the Colts and just went toe-to-toe with a solid Titans club, so they’re off to a strong and impressive start. With that said, I’m not to the point where I want to be laying chalk with the Jaguars, especially on a short week. We have two gunslingers in Fitzpatrick and Minshew, this game could go either way.

Give me the Dolphins and the points.