Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions 10/4/20

The Los Angeles Chargers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet in week 4 NFL action from Raymond James Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game looking to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 21-16 loss to Carolina last time out. Justin Herbert has thitemn for 641 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 69.5% passing while Austin Ekeler has rushed for 236 yards and Joshua Kelley has 167 rushing yards as well this season. Keenan Allen leads the Chargers in receiving with 24 catches for 265 yards and a touchdowns while Hunter Henry and the aforementioned Ekeler each have 16 receptions with Henry logging 206 receiving yards to Ekeler’s 142.Defensively, Kenneth Murray Jr. has a team-high 23 total tackles while Kyzir White and Casey Heyward Jr. each have 14 solo tackles and Joey Bosa has 3 sacks for the Charger defense this season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look to build on their 2-1 start after a 28-10 win over Denver last time out. Tom Brady’s thitemn for 753 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.1% passing while Ronald Jones II has a team-high 142 rushing yards and Leonard Fournette has 123 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Scotty Miller has a team-high 167 receiving yards while Mike Evans has 10 grabs for 108 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Devin White leads the Bucs with 20 solo tackles as part of his 33 total tackles while Jason Pierre-Paul has a team-high 3 sacks. Ndamukong Suh, Shaquil Barrett and Antoine Winfield Jr. each have a pair of sacks as well for Tampa Bay this season.

Los Angeles is 1-5-1 ATS int heir last 7 games overall and 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record and 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the over is 7-1 in their last 8 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

My initial lean earlier in the week was to the Chargers but with an updated injury report and seeing how banged up the Chargers are, I may have to switch course. Sure, the Bucs are without Chris Godwin, but Mike Evans has been the scoring threat in that receiving group and getting to the QB has been no problem for the Bucs and that’s an issue for an L.A. team that’s probably missing top lineman Bryan Bulaga for this game. I’m not rushing to the window to bet this game, but I’ll lean towards the Bucs laying the points as I’m just not a fan of the hook in L.A.’s direction.