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Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons 10/24/21 NFL Picks and Predictions

Atlanta Falcons (2-3) vs. Miami Dolphins (1-5)
October 24, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Dolphins +2.5/ Atlanta Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Dolphins and Atlanta Falcons square off Sunday afternoon in week 7 NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. The Atlanta Falcons need a win to get a game above a .500 record. The Miami Dolphins need a win to snap a five-game losing streak.

The Atlanta Falcons have split their last two road games. Matt Ryan is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 1,332 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Kyle Pitts and Cordarrelle Patterson have combined for 603 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Calvin Ridley has 27 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 91 yards per contest, and Mike Davis leads the way with 204 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 29.6 points and 352.6 yards per game. Foyesade Oluokun leads the Atlanta Falcons with 48 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has two sacks and Jaylinn Hawkins has one interception.

The Miami Dolphins have split their last six home games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 64.1 percent of his passes for 544 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Mike Gesicki and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 643 receiving yards and four touchdowns, while DeVante Parker has 17 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 71.5 yards per contest, and Myles Gaskin leads the way with 176 yards on 39 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 29.5 points and 417.8 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 42 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 2.5 sacks and Xavien Howard has one interception.

The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Dolphins are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 road games. The over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass. The favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

There’s every reason in the world to fade the Dolphins here, as they hit rock bottom last week with a loss to the Jaguars, and they’re at the bottom in every major statistical category on both sides of the ball. The Falcons have also had an extra week to prepare for this game, while the Dolphins are fresh from a trip to London. Yikes. With all that said, the Falcons aren’t exactly world beaters, and I’m not thrilled to lay chalk with a team on the road that’s 31st in scoring defense. And while it may seem crazy to say now, I still don’t believe the Dolphins are this bad of a football team. Probably a game I won’t get involved with personally, but it’s Dolphins or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Dolphins +2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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