Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots Prediction 12-15-24 NFL Picks
New England Patriots (3-10) vs. Arizona Cardinals (6-7)
December 15, 2024 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Cardinals -6; Over/Under: +45.5
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In this article, we will formulate an Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, December 15th at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 15 matchup.
Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview
The Arizona Cardinals are 6-7 this season after they lost to Seattle by a score of 30-18 in their last game. Arizona led 7-0 early in the first quarter, but they trailed 24-10 at halftime and never got back into the game. The Cardinals were outgained by a total of 409-356, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 4-12 on third down in the game. Kyler Murray threw for 259 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Trey McBride caught seven passes for 70 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, the Cardinals lost to Minnesota by a score of 23-22 and again to the Seahawks by a score of 16-6. The Arizona offense has scored 21.8 points per game with 208.2 passing yards and 139.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.2 points per game this season. Kyler Murray has completed 68.4% of his passes for 2,862 yards, 15 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while James Conner has rushed for 863 yards and five scores.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots are 3-10 this year after they lost to Indianapolis by a score of 25-24 in their last game. New England led 16-14 at halftime and 24-17 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed a touchdown and a two-point conversion with 12 seconds left in the loss. The Patriots outgained Indianapolis by a total of 422-253, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 6-11 on third down in the game. Drake Maye threw for 238 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Hunter Henry caught seven passes for 75 yards in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Patriots lost to the Dolphins by a score of 34-15 and the Rams by a score of 28-22. The NE offense has scored 17 points per game with 171.5 passing yards and 119.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.6 points per game this season. Drake Maye has completed 67.2% of his passes for 1,696 yards, 11 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Hunter Henry has caught 58 passes for 610 yards and one score this year.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Patriots
- The Patriots have lost 14 of their last 15 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The home team has won six of the Cardinals’ last seven Week 15 games.
- The Cardinals have covered the spread in each of their last six games against AFC opponents.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Patriots have lost the first half in each of their last seven games against NFC West opponents.
- The Cardinals have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Patriots have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 games at State Farm Stadium following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Patriots’ last five games in December has gone OVER the total points line.
Arizona Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Kyler Murray has recorded 244+ passing yards in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight December games as favorites.
- James Conner has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven December home appearances.
- Elijah Higgins has recorded 11+ receiving yards in eight of the Cardinals’ last nine Sunday home games.
- James Conner has recorded 68+ rushing yards in each of the Cardinals’ last six games following a loss.
- James Conner has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances following a home loss.
- Kyler Murray has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Cardinals’ last four games as favorites following a loss.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 23+ completions in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight December games as favorites.
- Jalen Thompson is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Drake Maye has recorded 222+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last three Sunday games.
- Hunter Henry has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four Week 15 appearances.
- Kendrick Bourne has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances against NFC opponents.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 73+ rushing yards in five of the Patriots’ last six games against NFC opponents.
- Kendrick Bourne has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in four of the Patriots’ last five games.
- Kyle Dugger is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 15, the Cardinals rank 30th in the NFL in 4th down percentage (38.5%) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Cardinals rank T3rd in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (53.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Patriots rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (171.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Patriots rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (15.2 yards) this season.
Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup on a three-game losing streak, but Arizona will have the home-field advantage in this game. The Cardinals have only scored 46 points in their last three games, but they really need this win to stay in the playoff picture. New England’s offense has actually been pretty solid in recent games, but they have allowed 25, 34, and 28 points in their last three games. Kyler Murray had some turnover issues last week against Seattle, but I think he is due for a huge game against the New England defense. Take the Cardinals at home.